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Forward Look – planning applications in 2009/10

by on May 6, 2009

I’ve been polishing my crystal ball and trying to envisage what’s going to happen to planning application numbers over the next 12 months. It’s business plan revision time and frankly I’m stumped.

In common with all great managers (!) I like to set SMART goals but with all the lovely data from the last 6 years now practically worthless it’s a little tougher to do. The canny way forward is to continue to set an increase in the percentage of online to offline applications but the salesman in me wants to see the money (metaphorically speaking).

Given that overall application numbers are down by an average of 30% over the last few months, what do you think will happen over the next 12 months?

It will be interesting to compare the view from different points in the process.

Chris

One Comment
  1. I’ve voted that plan apps have bottomed out now and will start to grow back before the end of the year. I’m Research Director at Barbour ABI who track all planning applications submitted and according to our data, planning application numbers for 1st quarter 2009 are showing a quarterly rise of over 3.7% over the fourth quarter of 2008.

    Although it’s worth remarking that application numbers are still significantly down on this time last year, we’re able to see a noticeable increase in the number of applications submitted in the first quarter of this year. It’s possible that some of this increase can be attributed to seasonal variation in application numbers, but March 2008 saw a decrease in applications over the previous month rather than the increase we’ve seen in March 2009.
    Next month’s data could give an even clearer indicator of confidence returning to future planned work within the construction industry.

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